New gTLD growth patterns

The new gTLD are progressively going live, and some volumes start to be significant. Do we have enough data now to identify some patterns ?

Overview of TLD volume growth

The typical growth pattern for the new open top level domains seems to be :
– a strong start during one week
– a linear growth afterwards.
The curves are sometimes a little bit erratic, due to absence of data..

The strong start is due to the pre-registrations and is not surprising. This does not include the 2 most popular TLD, .berlin and .xyz whose growth pattern is quite different.

If we try to model that growth with 2 lines per TLD, this is what we have :
dot club :
dot club
dot guru
dot guru
dot photography
dot photography
The smaller TLDs such as dot contractor also have a similar pattern
 dot contractors

This linear phase seems to end after approx 80 to 100 days after the general availability of the TLD.

Dot berlin has a totally different growth pattern

dot berlin